Escalating Rhetoric

Escalating Rhetoric
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In an escalation of hostile rhetoric between Iran and the United States, what is actually lost is that war, if it pans out between the two powers, will be won by no one. This prosaic fact is lent credence by a whole host of factors and holds despite the United States’ power and hard power capabilities. But, nay, Donald Trump and his cohort would have none of this and insist on bluster. At one level, this reflects poor understanding of international, regional politics and the very notion of war. Iran, if a sober analysis of the country’s capabilities is carried out, is not a military pushover; it is also an influential player and moreover, the Middle East region, if it is plunged into war, will have deleterious consequences for the world. It may be recalled that the Trump administration, withdrew from the nuclear deal arrived between the international community and Iran and reimposed a slew of sanctions on the country. While this blatant and egregious breaking of the deal has not gone down well with the international community, the United States under Trump is determined to pressurize Iran. The name of the game is “regime change” in Iran, despite the fact that Iran is , by the standards of the region, a rather working democracy. The reasons for the pressure on Iran are ideological and political. Ideologically, the United States does not appear to want to see Iran as the preeminent power in the Middle East and geopolitically, the United States appears to be making conditions favourable for Israel. All this adds up to putting Iran in the crosshairs of the United States. But, to repeat, Iran, while it would feel the pain from sanctions, is not a pushover. If an actual confrontation happens between Iran and the United states, there will be no clear winners and the region and the world will be poorer, in terms of both security and economic well being. Prudence then dictates that the international community step in and check the worst instincts of the United States’ president, creating space and room for diplomacy instead of war mongering. In the final analysis, broadly speaking, what might actually work for the Middle East and lead to peace within the region is a strict and “pure” balance of power which allows a certain balance and precludes war, instead of extraneous players imposing their warped will on the region and its constituents.

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