Different Uncertainties at Different Horizons

Different Uncertainties at Different Horizons

The phrase “ Different Uncertainties at Different horizons” coined by Harvard academic in 2009 in a different context, permutation and combination can equally hold for the conditions that obtain in and define Kashmir. A stock take and review of these conditions might be called for on the 1st anniversary of Burhan Wani’s death. While the nature of uncertainty is such that neither a handle nor a perspective can be gained , but an analysis and assessment of the causes can be arrived at. The major cause(s) of the “ different uncertainties at different horizons” vis a vis Kashmir is conflict in and over Kashmir which remains unresolved. There are both tangibles and intangibles involved in the conflict schemata that define Kashmir. The quasi tangibles pertain to the nature of the conflict- a mélange of conflict over territory overlaid by competing nationalisms and sovereignties. It may be stated that the reification of these is the prices and costs of the conflict. There are external dimensions to this. The form of these dimensions is that two sovereign entities are locked in mortal combat( with apocalyptic overtones) over Kashmir. Here is one dimension of the differing uncertainty. Then there is the conflict in Kashmir where conflict driven uncertainty is the norm. The costs of this dimension of conflict are obvious and known to everyone. This uncertainty affects all domains and aspects of life in Kashmir so much so that it is all pervasive and can be said to be the dominant reality in and of Kashmir. What adds sting and bite to this uncertainty is the overall uncertainty and the attendant fluidity that pervades the region and even the globe. The forces of ultra nationalism and populism have thrown past paradigms in terms of domestic politics, international relations and politics, global and regional security, economics and political economy into a tizzy. With reference to Kashmir another element that defines it is that the older cohort of Kashmiris is giving way and ceding space to a younger cohort or Gen Next of Kashmir. The structuring context of this generation is the conflict in and over Kashmir. Prosaically, the Gen Next of Kashmir might be called the “ children of conflict. They face an indeterminate and uncertain future and if tacked to the conflict, their trajectory cannot be foretold with certainty. Obiter Dictum, Burhan Wani could be said to have also been part of this younger cohort of Kashmiris facing a similar set of conditions. Can any lessons be learnt from all this? Since the uncertainty that defines Kashmir stems from the conflict itself, obviating this uncertainty calls for resolving the conflict in all its forms and dimensions. This would constitute the major lesson of “ different uncertainties at differing horizons” that define Kashmir.

 

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.